Value-Creation Simulator

Pick a scenario or pull the levers — see profit, cash, leverage, headroom and enterprise value move in real time, then stress-test it with AI.

The Stark Group · FY26 (modeled)

Luxury to-the-trade — designers & architects only (no retail)

670 employees · 12+ US sites · 8 countries

Scenarios

Pull the levers

Collect faster (DSO)

High6d

One-time working-capital release (long bespoke lead times)+£2.7m cash

Lift repeat-designer mix

Med3pt

Shift one-off specs to repeat trade (~8pt margin premium)+£0.4m EBITDA

Capture cross-house attach

Med25%

of £36m whitespace → £9.0m revenue+£2.3m EBITDA

Craft & sourcing gains

High1pt

Wool/silk sourcing · atelier yield · first-quality+£1.7m EBITDA

EV / EBITDA multiple

Market10x

Valuation lens for the family (luxury-house multiple)

Repeat trade carries ~8pt EBITDA premium · cross-house attach at 25% incremental margin, 60% repeat · DSO release is one-time working capital · EV at the chosen multiple. Illustrative model on modeled baseline figures.

Enterprise value

£344m+£44m

from £300m baseline · at 10× EBITDA

Growth + margin score28 → 35

white line = 40, the healthy-house threshold

Cash freed

£3m

one-time, from −6d DSO

Lands in 0–6 months · funds the next acquisition or showroom with no new sales.

EBITDA bridge · £30m → £34m+£4m (19.8% margin)

£30m

Cross-house attach+£2.3m

Craft & sourcing gains+£1.7m

Repeat-designer mix shift+£0.4m

Ranked by EBITDA contribution — the top bar is the biggest lever in this scenario. (DSO shows as cash, not EBITDA.)

Baseline → scenario

Metric	Today		Scenario	Δ
Revenue	£165m	→	£174m
Adj. EBITDA	£30m	→	£34m
EBITDA margin	18.2%	→	19.8%	+1.6pt
Repeat-designer revenue	£116m	→	£126m	mix 73%
Net leverage	0.50x	→	0.36x	-0.14x
Enterprise value	£300m	→	£344m	+£44m
Growth + margin score	28	→	35

Leverage headroom2.64x below the 3x ceiling

3x ceiling

scenario 0.36xtoday 0.50x (line)